Dropshipping ROAS Calculator
Calculate your Break Even ROAS for dropshipping. Includes AliExpress/CJ costs, ePacket shipping, payment fees, and higher refund rates typical in dropshipping.
Break Even ROAS
1.97
Profit/Sale
$15.26
Margin
51%
Total Cost
$14.73
Typical Dropshipping Costs
| Cost Type | Typical Range | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Supplier Markup | 2-4x retail | Most products sell at 2-4x supplier cost |
| ePacket Shipping | $2-6 | 15-30 days to US/EU |
| AliExpress Standard | $3-8 | 12-20 days, better tracking |
| CJ/Agent Shipping | $4-12 | 7-15 days, faster options |
| Refund Rate | 5-15% | Higher due to long shipping times |
| Chargeback Rate | 1-3% | Keep under 1% to avoid account issues |
Dropshipping Profitability Tips
1Aim for 3x+ Markup
Products should sell for at least 3x supplier cost. A $10 product should sell for $30+. This gives you ~33% margin before fees, resulting in ~25% net margin.
2Use Faster Shipping
Faster shipping (7-15 days vs 30 days) reduces refund rates by 30-50%. The extra $2-4 in shipping often pays for itself in fewer refunds.
3Account for Payment Fees
Stripe/PayPal takes 3-4% of every sale. On a $30 order, that's ~$1.20. Many beginners forget this and wonder why they're not profitable.
4Budget for Refunds
Expect 8-15% refund rate in dropshipping. A 10% refund rate on $12 cost = $1.20 lost per order. This is unavoidable with long shipping times.
Dropshipping ROAS FAQ
Common questions about ROAS and profitability in dropshipping
Due to lower profit margins (typically 25-40%), dropshipping businesses usually need a ROAS of 3.0-4.0 to be profitable. If your margin is 25%, your break-even ROAS is 4.0. If your margin is 40%, your break-even ROAS is 2.5. Always calculate your actual break-even ROAS based on your specific costs before setting ad targets.
Include all costs: supplier/product cost, shipping from supplier to customer (often $2-8 for ePacket/AliExpress Standard), payment gateway fees (Stripe 2.9%+$0.30, PayPal 3.49%+$0.49), platform fees (Shopify 2% or subscription), packaging inserts if any, and estimated refund/chargeback losses (typically 2-5% for dropshipping).
Dropshipping has unique cost structures: higher per-unit product costs (no bulk discounts), longer shipping times leading to higher refund rates (5-15%), no control over packaging/quality, and often international shipping costs. These factors typically result in 20-40% margins compared to 40-60% for traditional e-commerce, requiring higher ROAS to profit.
Longer shipping times (15-30 days with AliExpress) increase refund requests and chargebacks. Customers may forget their purchase, request refunds, or file disputes. This can add 3-8% to your effective costs. Factor in a higher refund rate (8-15%) compared to fast-shipping businesses (2-5%) when calculating break-even ROAS.
AliExpress offers lower minimums but higher per-unit costs and 15-30 day shipping. Dropshipping agents (CJ Dropshipping, Wiio, Eprolo) offer faster shipping (7-15 days), slightly lower costs at volume, but may require minimums. Faster shipping = lower refund rates = lower break-even ROAS. Calculate both scenarios to decide.
Payment fees are percentage-based and add up: Stripe charges 2.9% + $0.30 per transaction, PayPal charges 3.49% + $0.49. For a $30 sale via Stripe, you pay $1.17 (3.9%). Include this in your cost calculation. Some Shopify payment methods have additional fees if not using Shopify Payments.
Realistic dropshipping margins range from 15-40% after all costs. Beginners often overestimate margins by forgetting shipping, payment fees, refunds, and ad costs. A product with 3x markup (cost $10, sell $30) has only 33% margin before payment fees and refunds. After all costs, real margin might be 20-25%.
Refunds cost you the product cost, shipping paid, and payment processing fees - plus you lose the sale. A 10% refund rate on a product with 30% margin effectively reduces your margin to 20%. Chargebacks are worse - you also pay $15-25 chargeback fees. High dispute rates (>1%) can get your payment account terminated.
Free shipping increases conversions but reduces margins significantly. If shipping costs $5 on a $25 product, free shipping cuts your margin by 20%. Calculate break-even ROAS both ways: with shipping included in product price (higher price, appears as free shipping) vs charging shipping separately. Test both approaches.
Recalculate monthly or when: supplier prices change, shipping rates change (common with AliExpress), your refund rate changes significantly, you switch payment processors, or currency exchange rates fluctuate. Dropshipping costs are more volatile than traditional retail, so monitor closely.
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